Swine flu outbreak 15 times deadlier than thought, study finds

By MyHealthNewsDaily

The number of people who died of swine flu during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic may be about 15 times higher than originally calculated, according to a new study.

Researchers now estimate that 284,500 people worldwide died of infection from the H1N1 virus, commonly called the swine flu, between April 2009 and August 2010. At the time, 18,500 deaths had been laboratory-confirmed as being due to swine flu, according to the study from researchers at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). It was expected that the original number would be revised upward, the researchers said.

In estimating the true number of deaths, the researchers gave a range of 151,700 to 575,400.

Of the global swine flu deaths, the researchers estimated that 59 percent occurred in southeast Asia and in Africa, which together hold 38 percent of the world’s population.

The new numbers could be used “to improve the public health response during future pandemics in parts of the world that suffer more deaths, and to increase the public's awareness of the importance of influenza prevention,” said lead author Fatimah Dawood, a CDC epidemiologist.

Additionally, the researchers confirmed that swine flu  killed an unusually high number of young people compared with seasonal flu viruses — 80 percent of those who died were under 65 years old, they said.

The study is published online today (June 25) in the journal the Lancet.

The researchers used data on H1N1 deaths from 12 countries of differing national income levels in making their global estimates. They included data on lower respiratory tract infection mortality rates from the World Health Organization to assess health differences across countries.

The data included medical information on people who experienced flu symptoms, as well as those who died from the flu. In general, the numbers from higher income countries  were more accurate; the lack of accuracy in the data from low- and medium-income countries accounts for some of the wide variation in the estimate, according to the report.

For example, the estimated number of swine flu deaths in Mexico may be far too low, according to a comment by Dr. Cecile Viboud of the National Institutes of Health and Lone Simonsen of George Washington University, which was published along with the study in the journal.

"These results are likely to be refined as more studies from low-income and middle-income regions become available, particularly from China and India, where about a third of the world's population live but where little information is available about the burden of influenza,” Viboud said.

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Wow, Baldenario, I read your post three times, and I still have no idea what your ultimate point is. And I passed Calculus and Statistics. Maybe you should have stayed awake during your Composition class?

    Reply#28 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 2:49 AM EDT

    My brother in Utah became a statistic...with the H1N1 variant?...Kept saying I've read about this online...and it gets better without help in about 10 days...on day 8 his girlfriend woke up to a very confused man and said that's it...we are going to the ER....within 2 hours he was on a ventilator...and flown into Salt Lake Utah Medical center ICU 5th floor...they didn't realize it was swine flu as the H1N1 culture was negative...they began mega dosing him with every antibiotic known to man...Fever, confusion, respiratory depression etc. After 16 days in the ICU I got the call that they couldn't get his O2 Sats back up and asked what I wanted to do....I could hear the am-bu bag in the background and asked how long they had been hand bagging him and found it had been more than an hour. They kept him alive for his girlfriend to get there. I told them to stop...put him back on the vent and when his heart ceased to beat to let him go. He never regained consciousness, he never became stable enough to put him on a travel vent to get Head CT's...and his kidneys and other organs failed....it was time...and it sucked being the one to make the call. Somehow I got off the topic...While everything I've said is true ...swine flu was never mentioned as it was too late to look for the marker for the variant after all of the antibiotics they'd tried. My brother died at 53 and 3/4 years. He'd been a fairly healthy man until this "bug". I'd say the numbers are much higher than they know...and I pray there is not a repeat of this same bug in the years to come. If it does rear it's ugly head just maybe we will be better prepared to deal with it the next time. One can only hope.

      Reply#29 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 2:58 AM EDT
      Comment author avatarTina Johnsonvia Facebook

      Ann, I totally understand your story as I too suffered the rampage the H1N1. You can read my post on down. When I read the posts from all the conspiracy theorists it sickens me! Its very real and hopefully they will never experience any of it.

        #29.1 - Thu Jun 28, 2012 4:01 PM EDT

        Frankly, I am close to hoping they do Tina. Might improve the gene pool. Not really; I wouldn't wish it on anyone, but good grief these idiots who deny science are SO DISGUSTING.

          #29.2 - Fri Jun 29, 2012 3:35 AM EDT
          Reply

          My Little boy. My little Joshua. It was a Wednesday afternoon and I was playing with my 3 year old son Joshua in the backyard. He was as healthy as a boy could be. We had dinner and I kissed him goodnight. The next morning he woke with a slight temperature. Again, I kissed him goodbye as I went to work. He layed down to rest in the living room that morning and he never woke again. My son passed away from the H1N1 virus the next day. It rocked my soul. This past June has been 3 years and I miss him just as I did the day he left. I miss his smile, his laugh, the way he would tell his mom how much he loved her. So many plans and dreams just gone in an instant. I can honestly say that without the love of Jesus I would not be here today. He has truly carried my wife and I though the valley of the shadow of death. The lord has given us the strength to do something good out of something so bad. That good thing is a foundation that we have created called the Joshua Neves Childrens Foundation. It was created to reach out and support families who have lost children in the state of Hawaii. We help with counseling as well as help the family financially in paying for medical cost and funeral cost. We also put on a event every year that brings families together to remember the child. A part of me left the day my son took his last breath however the part of me that is stil here will FIGHT to make sure that this pain is used to help others. I miss my Joshua every single day. You can see him at nevesfoundation.org. Tell the loved ones in your life you love them because in a blink they could be gone. Love you Josh.

          • 1 vote
          Reply#30 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 5:20 AM EDT

          So sorry for your loss. Keep up the good work and keep the faith.

          • 1 vote
          #30.1 - Wed Jun 27, 2012 6:36 AM EDT
          Reply

          Unbelievable. The drug company promoting the virus is making a sequel and people are paying
          to watch it. People should educate themselves. I did – when my daughter had a VERIFIED case of swine flu. I say 'verified' because after a certain point, they were no longer doing the second test necessary to confirm swine flu. Many people at that time of the '09 flu, tested positive for the flu, then tested negative for swine flu, during the second test. The second tests were eventually stopped and they no longer confirmed if people had the common flu or swine flu. Any statistics after the second tests were stopped are unreliable. – The 09 swine
          flu panic fueled by the media and pharmaceutical company was uncalled for, and was about business and money, not public safety. My daughter's doctors couldn't believe how over blown things had become regarding the swine flu. Yes, people get sick from the flu, some people get very sick and can die, especially those with other health conditions. And yes, people should take precautions against ANY flu and preventative measures from spreading ANY flu. But the swine flu was not and is not what the drug company made it to be! And it is infuriating that they are selling it again, and people are again buying into it again! It would be interesting to learn if any of the people who commented that they had swine flu, were in fact double tested, or were they single tested and then told they had the swine flu. Again, people had the flu back then, but did NOT have the swine flu when the second test, testing directly for swine flu, came back. The swine flu statistics are NOT
          accurate, because they stopped the tests needed to CONFIRM swine flu (probably because it helped their needed figures). Oh, and the reason why this infuriates me so much, the prejudice against anyone (and their families) who had swine flu at the time was UNBELIEVABLE. The thought of people, who are sick or have family members who are sick with the flu, having to go through that again, just not good…

            Reply#31 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 8:18 AM EDT

            READ Maxn's post above and ask forgiveness for yours.

              #31.1 - Fri Jun 29, 2012 3:37 AM EDT
              Reply

              So who can we sue?

                Reply#32 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 9:14 AM EDT

                We want to get another scare story in the news so we are going to take a wild ass guess and claim without any proof that lots more people died.

                P.S. "It's the only way we could think of getting more taxpayer money in grants to keep our jobs."

                  Reply#33 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 1:56 PM EDT

                  Dear Friends:

                  Text email, send it to their personal websites and businesses to those like Northwest Exteriors Inc of California, Hawaii, Nevado and on line. They made people come to work with the swine flu, fevors, vomiting, pregnant with these international and national communicable disease or loose thier jobs. Then they made them go out and ride a van to cities like yours even knowing they had the disease, were exposed to it and had symptoms or were living, working and or attending school with these disease. Send a copy of this to them and every outbreaks of disease. They do not get it and argued and fired those that spoke up and or harrassed and stalked them.

                  Send them a copy and your thoughts! Do not buy Anlin windows they have leaking sealants, and leak argon gas. They also leave your tax credit dollars waisted while black mold and others, asbestos and others seep into these windows where children live, man, woman and domestic animals. Get the message to them where ever they are. Do the warranty allow for windows replacement with other products? Are they any good? Help! Bad Business! Ethics! None! Evil!

                  Hey Oregon I read you have rats, cats and humans with the plague like that of the Euopean history! How many? Are they investing more like rabbits multiply! Symptoms! Please! Are fires driving them out? Did they come from China or Asia in this our time of our Lord and in the Black Plague of earlier times! Around the world do you have more of these? Are they coming in the ports off ships! Comparitive annalysis, arguments. Help! Get the news out. Be careful firecrackers are made in China. Hands, eyes, fires, injury! Accidents1 Loss of arms, legs, feet, eyes. face.

                    Reply#34 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 2:42 PM EDT

                    Dear Friends:

                    Call the Sacramento Civil Court and let them know if you ordered anythings from Northwest Exteriors Inc because of these adds above. Tell them they owe referall fees too! Sharon Walker they can pay her too for referal. They state this and discounts and either do not pay or add it to the price! Seniors and Veterans they do the same to you. Turn them in. Our tax dollars at work.

                    Bad advertisement they say can bring business! Do you want bad products? china! Patent pending! faulty products? NO!

                      Reply#35 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 3:05 PM EDT

                      7 billion people on the planet so this is nothing but a drop in the bucket. Humans seem to want to eradicate any natural checks on the population.

                        Reply#36 - Tue Jun 26, 2012 9:39 PM EDT

                        We ended up with the swine flu in November of 09. Tried calling everywhere in town for the shots but they weren't available yet or that we couldn't get them yet, and I, even myself being asthmatic didn't warrant getting the shot. My daughter and boyfriend had a horrible fever for a week etc., I had it actively for a few days, but it literally zapped the energy right out of my boyfriend and I. Still, to this day, 3 years later, we have no energy no matter what we try or do to exercise and eat right. How come the CDC or the other medical professionals don't research the after effects of such a horrible flu?

                          Reply#37 - Wed Jun 27, 2012 9:44 AM EDT

                          I have heard of deadly flu epidemics since the 1970’s and so far nothing has become of it. Sure people die when they get the flu because they have other things wrong with them and getting the flu just makes it that much worse.

                            Reply#38 - Wed Jun 27, 2012 9:47 AM EDT

                            I guess they're getting ready to launch the next deadly flu strain that we should all fear. I can almost taste the profits and death that will come from the "solution" aka vaccine they come up with. Please DON'T TAKE VACCINES if you want to live a heathy life.

                              Reply#39 - Wed Jun 27, 2012 4:43 PM EDT

                              Are we really prepared for an eventual Human-to-Human Bird Flu Pandemic…unfortunately I think not !
                              The recent release of information concerning Bird Flu and where it only takes three mutations to become an airborne killer virus, should send shivers down the spine of everyone. For the Spanish Flu virus of 1918 according to research conclusions determined over the past few years was taken first where it initially occurred from the Southern States of the USA to Europe. The killer virus was taken to Europe and not the other way around. These were in healthy young hosts and at their age they had strong immune systems. When this virus spread through the trenches these young soldiers were struck down and it is estimated that more of our soldiers died from the virus than German bullets and bombs. When the war ended the virus was taken back across the world as the soldiers arrived back from the Great War. Those it infected in the returning home countries also had strong immune systems but it still killed tens of millions. As there were only around 1.8 billion humans then and now there are over 7 billion, a similar deadly virus would kill up to 378 million worldwide on the same basis and possibly even more because of rapid transit systems around the world now compared to 1918. Indeed possibly double this number if a human-to-human avian flu pandemic emerged (which it unfortunately will) to nearly 800 million deaths due to rapid transit systems today. That is why this drugs strategy is so futile as hardly any of these will be saved due to the time it takes to create an antidote, mass manufacture and distribute to the world-at-large – approx. 6 months longer than the when the Spanish Flu did its worst in 1918 when up to 100 million lives were taken by this killer virus. It is also one of the most dreadful ways to die if people research into the Spanish Flu. Therefore we really have to adopt the strategy before it is far too late to do anything about such a human tragedy and which would be the greatest single killer in history. We are basically living on borrowed time and that is a truism of the first order if what Dr. Margaret Chan, Director-General of the WHO has stated, “it is only a matter of time not when”. The damage/destruction to global business will be unparalleled.

                              Dr David Hill
                              Chief Executive
                              World Innovation Foundation

                              United Kingdom/Switzerland

                                Reply#40 - Wed Jun 27, 2012 6:12 PM EDT
                                Comment author avatarTina Johnsonvia Facebook

                                I had H1N1 in 2010 along with Legionaires that I contracted through our airport. After 1 week of being on antibiotics for the "flu", I was quickly admitted into the ICU Unit of a hospital where I remained on a respirator for 12 days. Both of my lungs had started to collapse due to the H1N1. I've had the flu many times before but never to this degree. Every ounce of my body hurt to the point of having to be sedated for the 12 days. First day into the ICU, a catheter was put directly into my heart and dose after dose of antibiotics were pumped into me. Unles you've had it or you are a doctor, you cannot even imagine how sick this flu makes you. You are not qualified to even have an opinion about the severity of the H1N1. I did not think I would live through the illness. I had already begun to have my talk with God, thinking it was the end for me. The entire floor I was on, was home to H1N1 pateints some being there for over 3 months. Ages 17 years old on up. To this day I still suffer from the permanent effects this flu left on me. So, to those in this blog, with negative words about getting a flu vaccine, the CDC creating a pandemic to benefit the Pharmaceutical companies, and those who say "Everyone has to die sometime" I only hope you never get the H1N1, becuase I can gaurantee you will be whistling a different tune. Such compassion!!! Hopefully you are not in the healthcare industry!

                                • 1 vote
                                Reply#41 - Thu Jun 28, 2012 3:53 PM EDT

                                Back in 2009 was scaring time for me I didnt get pig flu but when it was confirmed in my town I went into overdrive of fear. I isloated myself and clean surfaces and made sure I won't catch it and I didn't and no i didnt have vaccine. I did same when sars came around my area I was 18 and working at gas station i wore gloves and mask and didnt give @!$%# what boss thought I was like i aint dieing for no mutha@!$%#er.

                                  Reply#42 - Sun Apr 14, 2013 10:24 PM EDT
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